I’m doing some weather forecasting here. The UK has had a spectacularly warm winter so far – up to now I haven’t had to put the heating on once. The temperature has really dropped below 10°C and daffodils and other harbingers of Spring have started appearing early. However, that usually means a cold snap will turn up around mid-January, and that’s what I was banking on when I wrote this in November. So far everything appears to be happening bang on schedule.